World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum. The outlook for coal is very different in the sustainable development scenario. The global energy map is changing in dramatic fashion, said the iea, with north america being at the forefront of a sweeping transformation in oil and gas production that will affect all regions of the world. These are some of the insights touted by the international energy agency iea world energy outlook 2015, published this week. Primary energy production electricity generation nuclear. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010. In this report the iea makes a detailed assessment of current flows and future investment needs along the entire energy value chain and examines financing options and barriers to realisation. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. The international energy agency iea is an autonomous body which was established in. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more.
World energy outlook special report on energy and climate. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. The 2012 edition of the world energy outlook was released on 12 november and presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. Since weo2008, the economic downturn has led to a drop in energy use, co2 emissions and energy investment. The international energy agency iea provides unrealistically high oil forecasts in its new 2012 world energy outlook weo. Energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. Data sources based on official government data, with inputs from experts. It is iea flagship publication and is the worlds most comprehensive energy study that looks into the future of energy, its fuels, consumption patterns and investments. In absence of long term strategy and planning by iraqs ministry of oil, the issues discussed here are guidelines for radical actions required to ensure flow of enough revenue from oil and gas exports to. Nov 12, 2012 presenting the agencys 2012 world energy outlook in london, the ieas chief economist fatih birol told reporters that he could see a growing momentum in many countries to push the energy efficiency button, but also that energy efficiency remained an epic failure in most nations energy policies. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook. There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. The implications of a possible delay in oil and gas sector investment.
Jun 23, 2015 the world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. The international energy agency iea launched its 2012 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Current energy trends are patently unsustainable socially, environmentally, economically. The world energy outlook explains the impact of todays decisions on tomorrows energy systems, and describes a pathway that enables the world to meet climate, energy access and air quality goals while maintaining a strong focus on the reliability and affordability of energy for a growing global population. Iea 2012, world energy outlook 2012, oecdiea, paris. World energy outlook, 2017, international energy agency iea, swiss re institute. Iea 2014 world energy outlook 2014 free ebook download as pdf file. Iea world energy outlook 2012 stuart staniford makes an interesting observation on the above reported numbers. Take five key actions, led by energy efficiency and renewables, to peak then reduce global energy emissions. This has been realised despite the growth in world population and has. Why the ieas 2012 world energy outlook could be wrong. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business.
In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. Iea world energy outlook 2011a comment sciencedirect. But the international energy agency iea, i believe, runs a greater risk of being wrong with its prediction that the us will become the world s largest oil producer by 2020 and energy independent by 2030 in their 2012 world energy outlook weo. Its allencompassing annual studies of oil, natural gas, coal, electricity and renewables are indispensable tools for energy policy makers. In july 2011, the epa published csapr, with state coverage as. The annual outlook, weighing in at 700 pages, is one of the most widelyread and universally respected set of energyrelated forecasts in the world. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. Iea world energy outlook 2010a comment sciencedirect. Energy outlook 2008 september 2008 energy information administration office of integrated analysis and forecasting u. This year it dealt with caspian energy, energy poverty and energy subsidies. But the international energy agency iea, i believe, runs a greater risk of being wrong with its prediction that the us will become the worlds largest oil producer by 2020 and energy independent by 2030 in their 2012 world energy outlook weo.
Contacts the international energy outlook 2016 was prepared by the u. It is rewritten annually to reflect the worlds changing energy and economy realities. Signs of increasing policy focus on energy efficiency alltime high oil prices acting as brake on global economy divergence in natural gas prices affecting europe with prices 5times us levels and asia 8times symptoms of an unsustainable energy system persist. Iea world energy outlook 2012 ecoglobe sustainability. It includes, for the first time, a new scenario that anticipates future actions by governments to meet the commitments they have made to tackle climate change and. Energyintensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. November 2012 cities and insurance june 20 together with the uk foreign and commonwealth. Critique of iea iraq oil outlook 2012 coverage and. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. By 2040, world coal use is 60% lower than in the stated policies scenario and coals share in the primary energy mix falls towards 10%.
This special report, part of the world energy outlook series, assesses the. Its prospects and contribution are presented in a dedicated chapter. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. Unlocking investment and financing for green innovation. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. The international energy agency has made a new comprehensive forecast of world energy from now until 2030. World energy outlook 2012 international energy agency. These are some of the questions that are addressed in a special report world energy outlook seriesin the series. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the iea s directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974.
This article discusses some of the main issues covered by iea iraq energy outlook 2012 and the challenges facing the federal hydrocarbon plans. Energy efficiency a major factor in the global energy balance is treated in much the same way as conventional fuels. World energy outlook special report on energy and climate change. The iea demonstrate this themselves clearly in their. Department of energy washington, dc 20585 this report was prepared by the energy information administration, the independent statistical and analytical agency within the department of energy. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among.
Accelerate energy technology innovation to make decarbonisation easier and even more affordable. Pdf on oct 18, 2016, steve sawyer and others published global wind energy outlook 2016 find, read and cite all the research you need on researchgate. Nov 10, 2009 world energy outlook market report series world energy investment special reports. With a much more stringent focus on reducing emissions, global coal use decreases steeply at an annual rate of 4. The international energy outlook 2016 ieo2016 presents an assessment by the u. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21.
Jim diefenderfer, director, office of electricity, coal, nuclear, and. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Is this an opportunity to arrest climate change or a threat that any economic upturn might be stifled at birth. The international energy agency the iea, which was established in november 1974, has over the years gained recognition as one of the worlds most authoritative sources for energy statistics. The world energy outlook 2010 is a comprehensive energy report issued by the iea. Global demand for oil has increased in 2011 world oil demand increased in 2011 by 0. World bank se4all finance committee report 2015, estimates are derived from various sources. Fatih birol iea chief economist rome, 14 december 2012. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and. Iea world energy outlook special report 2012 iraq energy.
Se4all finance committee report 2014, energy for all scenario weo iea 2012, 450 scenario, weo iea 2014, remap 2030 irena 2014. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press. Columbia university ieo2014 september 22, 2014 16 history. Iea 2010 world energy outlook ecoglobe sustainability. Iea energy issue 2 spring 2012 by international energy. Energy and climate change world energy outlook special report. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. Please note that this pdf is subject to specific restrictions that. This study was prepared by the directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency in cooperation with other offices of the agency. Iea and secondary data sources, and an annual survey identifying countries that set energy prices below the full cost of supply. Nov 18, 2010 updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. Key point iea projections to 2035 show that as m h as twothirds of energy e.
The annual energy outlook 2012 is available on the eia website at. Paul holtberg, team leader, analysis integration team paul. It claims, among other things, that the united states will become the worlds largest oil producer by around 2020, and north america will become a net oil exporter by 2030. What package of commitments and measures should the climate negotiators at copenhagen put together if they really want to stop global temperatures rising. It shows a civilization crashing 8% decline rate that the iea hopes will be brought to an also civilization crashing 4% rate with new oil drilling projects. Iea world energy outlook 2012 new policies scenario. It was designed and directed by fatihbirol, chief economist of the iea. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. European commission energy 2020 the ieej outlook published by the institute of energy economics, japan provides analyses and projections of energy, environment and economy. Comparison of fossilfuel subsidy and support estimates. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2040. Each year the international energy agency in paris publishes its world energy outlook.
Current investment energy access renewable energy energy efficiency required annual investment to 2030 x3. And the report examines the outlook for brazils energy sector in detail and the implications for the global energy landscape. Use the paris agreement to drive shortterm actions consistent with longterm emission goals. Ranges shown for primary energy production are sourcetocarrier. Updated projections of energy demand, production, trade and investment, fuel by fuel and region by region to 2035 are provided in the 2010 edition of the world energy outlook weo. Eia, annual energy outlook 2014 and international energy outlook 2014. Yet the credit squeeze could delay spending, potentially setting up a supplycrunch that could choke economic recovery. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development.
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